Monday, July 8, 2013

Will These Numbers from ADTRAN Be Good Enough for You?

ADTRAN (Nasdaq: ADTN  ) is expected to report Q2 earnings on July 10. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict ADTRAN's revenues will wane -16.3% and EPS will compress -50.0%.

The average estimate for revenue is $154.1 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.19.

Revenue details
Last quarter, ADTRAN reported revenue of $143.0 million. GAAP reported sales were 6.1% higher than the prior-year quarter's $134.7 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.17. GAAP EPS of $0.13 for Q1 were 35% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.20 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 48.7%, 630 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 4.6%, 860 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 5.5%, 410 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $622.4 million. The average EPS estimate is $0.78.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a two-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 156 members out of 184 rating the stock outperform, and 28 members rating it underperform. Among 52 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 42 give ADTRAN a green thumbs-up, and 10 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on ADTRAN is underperform, with an average price target of $18.52.

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