In March 2012, the U.S. Government ran a budget deficit $198B, the Treasury Department reported. This is up $10.0 billion or 5.3% from the $188.154 billion deficit in March 2011.
Click to enlarge.
The total budget deficit for the first six months of fiscal 2012 reached $778,988 billion.
Summary of two charts:
Year | 2012 | 2011 |
Receipts | $171.2B | $150.9B |
Outlays | $369.4B | $339.0B |
Deficit | $198.2B | $188.2B |
Deficit (amount borrowed) as a percentage of spending = 53.7%
The Bond market took the news in stride with mixed results:
Name | Price | Change | Yield | |
AGG | iShares Barclays Aggregate Bond | 110.13 | 0.01 | 3.54 |
BND | Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 83.49 | 0.12 | 3.51 |
LAG | SPDR Barclays Capital Aggregate Bond | 58.01 | 0.03 | 3.16 |
SCHZ | Schwab U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 51.65 | 0.01 | - |
TIP | iShares Barclays TIPS Bond | 118.79 | 0.19 | 2.48 |
Sometimes I think these deficit numbers are too large for people to comprehend, so I will divide them by 100 million to put them in perspective.
Lets say your kid graduated from college and their monthly pay check after taxes is $1,712 and their living expenses "worthy of someone of his education and status" total $3,694 a month. Would you tell the kid to:
- Not worry. Keep charging everything on credit cards and let your grandkids pay the bills someday. (This is what we currently do in the U.S. with our national debt.)
- Demand your boss give you a raise to match your education and status. (This is what people do when they say they want to raise taxes.)
- Cut spending. (Nobody wants to do this. We're not Greece!)
I'd suggest the kid cut spending and work harder so the boss will give them a raise so they can someday afford what they want. Hopefully the U.S. government can reach a compromise that both cuts spending and raises revenue without killing the economic recovery.
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I am long individual TIPS, as I think the US will continue to print money to kick the can down the road hoping to inflate away the problem.
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