Wednesday, November 28, 2012

VTI, SPY: Good Additions To A Long-Term Portfolio

From an investor’s point of view, large cap stocks have historically played a very important role in asset allocation for retirement investments such as IRA investments or 401K investments. Most professional portfolio and fund managers use large cap stocks as a cornerstone of their portfolio creation strategy. Large cap stocks are known to offer stability and capital protection to any long-term investment portfolio. In the current parlance, any stock with a market capitalization greater than $10 billion is considered a large cap stock.

Large cap blend ETFs usually consist of high quality stocks that are of reasonable valuation and earnings growth perspective. In the current uncertain economic environment, these ETFs are expected to outperform among other stock style ETFs. For instance, in the last financial year, U.S. large cap blend ETFs have outperformed all asset classes with the exception of gold and treasuries. This can be seen in the following two tables:

Major Asset Classes Trend (as of 11/04/2011)

Description

Symbol

1 Week

4 Weeks

13 Weeks

26 Weeks

52 Weeks

Trend Score

US Stocks

VTI

-2.21%

9.36%

5.21%

-6.2%

5.48%

2.33%

Emerging Market Stks

VWO

-2.89%

13.43%

-3.83%

-13.87%

-11.53%

-3.74%

International REITs

RWX

-4.16%

6.17%

-3.75%

-12.53%

-8.81%

-4.62%

Frontier Market Stks

FRN

-2.97%

9.1%

-2.88%

-10.96%

-19.91%

-5.53%

International Developed Stks

EFA

-6.24%

5.76%

-3.61%

-14.26%

-9.95%

-5.66%

U.S. Equity Style Trend (as of 11/04/2011)

Description

Symbol

1 Week

4 Weeks

13 Weeks

26 Weeks

52 Weeks

Trend Score

Russell Largecap Growth

IWF

-1.73%

8.84%

5.82%

-3.92%

6.49%

3.1%

Russell Largecap Index

IWB

-2.3%

8.83%

5.15%

-6.11%

4.23%

1.96%

Russell Largecap Value

IWD

-3.02%

9.0%

4.48%

-8.22%

1.93%

0.83%

Russell Midcap Growth

IWP

-1.49%

11.93%

7.04%

-7.7%

7.41%

3.44%

Russell Midcap Indedx

IWR

-1.64%

11.7%

6.36%

-8.22%

4.84%

2.61%

Russell Midcap Value

IWS

-1.87%

11.28%

5.62%

-8.91%

3.28%

1.88%

Russell Smallcap Growth

IWO

-1.58%

14.62%

6.52%

-8.99%

6.26%

3.37%

Russell Smallcap Index

IWM

-1.88%

13.89%

4.99%

-9.8%

2.49%

1.94%

Russell Smallcap Value

IWN

-2.28%

13.54%

3.4%

-10.53%

-1.25%

0.58%

More information about the latest growth numbers for various asset classes can be found here.

Let us now discuss the prominent Large Cap blend ETFs currently trading in the U.S. market.

U.S. Large Cap Blend

11/04/2011

Description

Symbol

1 Yr

3 Yr

5 Yr

Avg. Volume(K)

1 Yr Sharpe

SPDR S&P 500

SPY

3.63%

9.55%

0.0%

317,715

20.58%

iShares S&P 500 Index

IVV

4.67%

11.08%

0.18%

5,359

27.69%

Vanguard Total Stock Market

VTI

5.95%

12.14%

1.19%

3,423

32.3%

iShares Russell 1000

IWB

4.61%

10.77%

0.23%

2,192

26.36%

Rydex S&P Equal Weight

RSP

5.24%

16.13%

1.84%

1,894

25.67%

iShares S&P 100

OEF

4.09%

8.72%

-0.54%

992

25.84%

Vanguard Large Cap

VV

4.81%

11.33%

1.14%

439

27.62%

Schwab U.S. Large Cap

SCHX

4.65%

NA

NA

395

26.87%

Vanguard S&P 500

VOO

4.78%

NA

NA

668

28.18%

Considering the statistics given in the above-given list, it is obvious that the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) is currently the best performing U.S. large cap blend ETF. At the same time, we must not ignore the giant in the room – the SPDR S&P 500 ETF-- which is benchmarked to the S&P 500 index and accounts for a lion’s share of the average trading volume (317,715), currently making it the most liquid U.S. large cap blend ETF .

VTI has given the highest returns for the last one, three and five year periods compared to the other ETFs in the list. Additionally, VTI also has the highest Sharpe ratio (32.3%) making it the best managed ETF in the list. VTI is benchmarked to the MSCI US Broad Market Index; which was specifically formulated to represent the U.S. stock market as a whole.

Please refer to the following table to examine the latest sector-wise portfolio allocation for VTI.

Sector Weightings:

Sector VTI (%)
Basic materials 4.23
Consumer cyclical 10.34
Financial services 13.06
Realestate 2.94
Consumer defensive 9.82
Healthcare 11.32
Utilities 3.33
Communication services 4.04
Energy 11.38
Industrials 13.04
Technology 16.51

VTI has a superb balance of aggressive growth sectors like technology (16.51%), financial services (13.06) and energy (11.38%) along with classic defensives like utilities (3.33%), consumer cyclicals (10.34%) and consumer defensives (9.82%). Additionally, the top ten holdings of VTI represent 17.08% of total assets and they include a mix of energy behemoths like Exxon Mobil (XOM) (2.82%), Chevron Corp. (CVX) (1.44%); technology stocks like Apple Inc. (AAPL) (2.06%), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT) (1.31%), IBM (1.39%) and financials like Bank of America (BAC) (1.25%).

Taking into account VTI’s asset allocation and top holdings, we can conclude that in the current low interest rate environment, VTI will continue to outperform other U.S. large cap blend ETFs as the economy improves and unemployment declines. Both VTI and SPY make great additions to any serious long-term investment portfolio including IRA investments and 401K investments.

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Disclaimer: MyPlanIQ does not have any business relationship with the company or companies mentioned in this article. It does not set up their retirement plans. The performance data of portfolios mentioned above are obtained through historical simulation and are hypothetical.


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