Sunday, July 22, 2012

Retail Stocks Are Out, This ETF Is In

ProShares UltraShort Consumer Goods (NYSE: SZK) — This exchange-traded fund (EFT) seeks to mirror twice the inverse of the daily performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Consumer Goods Index. Recent economic reports indicate that consumer confidence is falling, so this reverse ETF could advance as the retail group falls.

A huge saucer formation is evident with a possible breakout at just over yesterday’s close at $42.60. Heavy accumulation has accompanied the recent advance, and even though the index is somewhat overbought, a breakout could take prices much higher. Buy on a breakout above $43 with a target of $50.

A word of caution: This “ultra fund” is for traders only. The SEC has determined that they are not good long-term investments and are most appropriate for short-term trades. Because it carries greater risk than an ordinary ETF, traders should use stop-loss orders.

Finally, the margin requirement for most leveraged ETFs is 100%, but check with your broker before entering an order.

If you have questions or comments for Sam Collins, please e-mail him at samailc@cox.net.

Are You Ready for Dow 9,000?
John Lansing, trading maverick who called the market turn in March 2009, last summer’s “rebound rally,” gold’s meteoric rise and a continued “bull run” earlier this year, now sees huge trouble ahead, and then a surprising rally that will take the Dow back to new all-time highs. Here’s why — plus how to double your money as the market plunges and then soars.

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