Thursday, January 31, 2013

Gold Prices Sink After Commerce Department Report

NEW YORK (AP) -- Gold prices are sinking after a report showed that Americans' incomes surged in December.

Gold for April delivery lost $19.60, more than 1 percent, to settle at $1,662 per ounce.

The Commerce Department said Thursday that personal income jumped 2.6 percent from November to December, the biggest monthly gain since 2004. The big drivers were dividend payments and bonuses, which companies moved up to help high-income earners avoid tax increases in 2013.

The news helped ease worries that the economy could be headed for a rough patch. The government said Wednesday that the economy shrank slightly in the last three months of 2012.

Silver followed gold lower. Silver for March delivery sank 82.6 cents, more than 2 percent, to $31.35 per ounce.

Other metals and grains were mostly lower.

Focus Financial does it again, lands $1B RIA

The Portfolio Strategy Group, a White Plains, NY-based investment adviser managing over $1 billion in assets, has joined Focus Financial Partners LLC.

“This is a first class firm with a terrific client base,” said Rudy Adolf, chief executive of Focus. “They will add to the collective knowledge of our firm in a significant way.”

The deal, which was made effective Dec. 31, was the tenth transaction executed by Focus in 2012. For the year, the firm grew client assets by $14 billion. Focus did not disclose how much of that asset growth was due to acquisitions as opposed to organic growth.

Founded in 2006, Focus is one of the largest partnerships of independent investment advisers in the country. It now has more than 100 partners and is “approaching $60 billion” in assets under management, according to a press release.

National firms like Focus, United Capital Financial Advisers LLC, and Hightower Advisors LLC have become major buyers in the RIA industry. Collectively, they were in on 25 of the 45 deals involving RIAs with more than $100 million in assets under management last year, according to an annual study by Schwab Advisor Services earlier this week.

“We're by far the largest acquirer in this space,” said Mr. Adolf.

The root of Focus' success is that it allows its partner firms to maintain their independence, said Mr. Adolf. “We celebrate the entrepreneurial nature of our partners,” he said. “Our motto is “never turn a successful entrepreneur into an employee.”

Qiagen Beats on Both Top and Bottom Lines

Qiagen (Nasdaq: QGEN  ) reported earnings on Jan. 30. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q4), Qiagen beat expectations on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue grew and GAAP earnings per share grew.

Gross margins grew, operating margins dropped, net margins expanded.

Revenue details
Qiagen booked revenue of $346.5 million. The 21 analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ anticipated revenue of $331.4 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 3.6% higher than the prior-year quarter's $334.4 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.34. The 17 earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ predicted $0.31 per share. GAAP EPS of $0.16 for Q4 were much higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.00 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 67.1%, 230 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 14.1%, 1,220 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 11.1%, 1,120 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $309.7 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.25.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $1.32 billion. The average EPS estimate is $1.15.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 110 members out of 121 rating the stock outperform, and 11 members rating it underperform. Among 42 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 39 give Qiagen a green thumbs-up, and three give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Qiagen is hold, with an average price target of $18.41.

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Whirlpool Beats on EPS But GAAP Results Lag

Whirlpool (NYSE: WHR  ) reported earnings on Jan. 31. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q4), Whirlpool missed slightly on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue dropped slightly and GAAP earnings per share dropped significantly.

Gross margins grew, operating margins grew, net margins dropped.

Revenue details
Whirlpool booked revenue of $4.79 billion. The three analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ anticipated a top line of $4.88 billion on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 2.4% lower than the prior-year quarter's $4.91 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $2.29. The five earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ forecast $2.23 per share. GAAP EPS of $1.52 for Q4 were 42% lower than the prior-year quarter's $2.62 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 16.9%, 310 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 6.7%, 160 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 2.5%, 170 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $4.33 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.81.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $18.56 billion. The average EPS estimate is $8.70.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 335 members out of 415 rating the stock outperform, and 80 members rating it underperform. Among 126 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 115 give Whirlpool a green thumbs-up, and 11 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Whirlpool is outperform, with an average price target of $106.17.

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MEDNAX Beats Analyst Estimates on EPS

MEDNAX (NYSE: MD  ) reported earnings on Jan. 31. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q4), MEDNAX met expectations on revenues and beat slightly on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue grew significantly and GAAP earnings per share expanded.

Margins dropped across the board.

Revenue details
MEDNAX booked revenue of $471.3 million. The 14 analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ predicted revenue of $473.7 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 16% higher than the prior-year quarter's $404.9 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $1.32. The 15 earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ anticipated $1.30 per share. GAAP EPS of $1.32 for Q4 were 11% higher than the prior-year quarter's $1.19 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 34.2%, 590 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 21.9%, 70 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 14.0%, 40 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $504.2 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.15.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $2.12 billion. The average EPS estimate is $5.55.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 174 members out of 181 rating the stock outperform, and seven members rating it underperform. Among 62 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 59 give MEDNAX a green thumbs-up, and three give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on MEDNAX is outperform, with an average price target of $83.75.

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Regis Meets on the Top Line, Misses Where it Counts

Regis (NYSE: RGS  ) reported earnings on Jan. 31. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q2), Regis met expectations on revenues and missed estimates on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue dropped and GAAP loss per share dropped.

Gross margins shrank, operating margins dropped, net margins expanded.

Revenue details
Regis reported revenue of $506.2 million. The six analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ expected to see a top line of $504.2 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 10% lower than the prior-year quarter's $563.3 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.03. The seven earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ anticipated $0.14 per share. GAAP EPS were -$0.22 for Q2 compared to -$1.01 per share for the prior-year quarter.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 33.0%, 410 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 1.7%, 240 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was -2.4%, 780 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $525.7 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.22.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $2.06 billion. The average EPS estimate is $0.67.

Investor sentiment

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Regis is hold, with an average price target of $16.93.

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Ball Corp. Hikes Dividend by 30%

Ball Corporation (NYSE: BLL  ) has announced a hefty raise in its quarterly dividend. The company is to pay out $0.13 per share, a 30% improvement over the previous disbursement. The new dividend is to be paid March 15 to shareholders of record as of the end of March 1.

In the press release announcing the move, the firm quoted its CFO Scott Morrison as saying that:

This dividend increase returns value to our shareholders while maintaining financial flexibility, and reflects management's expectations of continued improved performance by the company.

Ball Corporation is to release its Q4 and fiscal 2012 results in a conference call Thursday morning.

Plantronics Beats on Both Top and Bottom Lines

Plantronics (NYSE: PLT  ) reported earnings on Jan. 29. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q3), Plantronics beat expectations on revenues and beat expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue increased and GAAP earnings per share contracted.

Margins shrank across the board.

Revenue details
Plantronics logged revenue of $197.4 million. The nine analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ expected net sales of $186.3 million on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 7.7% higher than the prior-year quarter's $183.2 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $0.73. The 10 earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ predicted $0.68 per share. GAAP EPS of $0.66 for Q3 were 7.0% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.71 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 51.8%, 70 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 18.5%, 190 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 14.3%, 260 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $192.3 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.69.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $750.3 million. The average EPS estimate is $2.77.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 127 members out of 136 rating the stock outperform, and nine members rating it underperform. Among 54 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 53 give Plantronics a green thumbs-up, and one give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Plantronics is outperform, with an average price target of $41.00.

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Time to Buy This Dow Stock?

The following video is from Monday's�MarketFoolery�podcast, in which host Chris Hill, along with analysts Jason Moser and Andy Cross, discuss the top business and investing stories.

In this segment, the guys discuss Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT  ) , which saw its net income halved because of a writedown�in China as well as acquisition-related accounting problems. While the writedown isn't a big deal for Caterpillar's overall business, it does invite questions about management's�judgement. Andy points out that there are inherent risks in investing, and that CAT's problems serve as a reminder that you have to be diversified across industries and market caps. For the full story, be sure to check out the following video segment.

Caterpillar is the market-share leader in an industry in which size matters, and its quality products, extensive service network, and unparalleled brand strength combine to give it solid competitive advantages. Read all about Caterpillar's strengths and weaknesses in our brand-new report. Just click here to access it now.

The relevant video segment can be found between 00:35 and 6:56.

For the full video of today's MarketFoolery podcast, click here.

Northrop Grumman Beats Up on Analysts Yet Again

Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC  ) reported earnings on Jan. 30. Here are the numbers you need to know.

The 10-second takeaway
For the quarter ended Dec. 31 (Q4), Northrop Grumman beat expectations on revenues and crushed expectations on earnings per share.

Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue was unchanged and GAAP earnings per share grew slightly.

Gross margins grew, operating margins increased, net margins contracted.

Revenue details
Northrop Grumman notched revenue of $6.48 billion. The 15 analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ hoped for revenue of $6.33 billion on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 0.5% lower than the prior-year quarter's $6.51 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
EPS came in at $2.14. The 18 earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ predicted $1.75 per share. GAAP EPS of $2.14 for Q4 were 2.9% higher than the prior-year quarter's $2.08 per share. (The prior-year quarter included -$0.01 per share in earnings from discontinued operations.)

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Margin details
For the quarter, gross margin was 24.1%, 200 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 12.7%, 40 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 8.2%, 20 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead
Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $6.03 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.71.

Next year's average estimate for revenue is $24.36 billion. The average EPS estimate is $6.96.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 792 members out of 855 rating the stock outperform, and 63 members rating it underperform. Among 260 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 247 give Northrop Grumman a green thumbs-up, and 13 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Northrop Grumman is hold, with an average price target of $65.80.

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Is BlackBerry Back in the Game After Its BB10 Launch Today?

Today was the official launch of Research In Motion's (NASDAQ: RIMM  ) two newest Blackberry models, as well as the launch of the company's new operating software, BB10. The company has also announced it will officially be leaving the Research In Motion name behind, and will rename itself BlackBerry. In this video, Motley Fool tech and telecom analyst Andrew Tonner tells us all the features about the new phones and the BB10 software that make them competitive as products, but notes that whether or not the market will accept them is a whole other story.

Apple is often seen as one of the biggest causes of the Blackberry's fall from glory. There's no doubt that Apple is at the center of technology's largest revolution ever, and that longtime shareholders have been handsomely rewarded with over 1,000% gains. However, there is a debate raging as to whether Apple remains a buy. The Motley Fool's senior technology analyst and managing bureau chief, Eric Bleeker, is prepared to fill you in on both reasons to buy and reasons to sell Apple, and what opportunities are left for the company (and more importantly, your portfolio) going forward. To get instant access to his latest thinking on Apple, simply click here now.

Angie’s List merchants can now accept payments with Square - 08:41 AM

(gigaom.com) -- Consumer review service Angie’s List is partnering with Square to let merchants — service providers like plumbers, housecleaners and painters — accept credit card payments from their iPhones. Square’s technology will be integrated into Angie’s List’s iOS app, Angie’s List Business Center, rather than requiring merchants to use the separate Square app.

“We’re proud to work with Angie’s List to make life easier for businesses of all sizes,” Square co-founder and CEO Jack Dorsey said in a statement.

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Angie’s List has about 1.7 million subscribers, most of whom pay a membership fee that varies depending on their location (in New York City, it’s $3.60 a month). The company had previously announced in its October earnings call that it would be working with Square, but hadn’t explained the specifics. “The Square relationship fits into a much bigger and more important activity set thatâ�?�?s around deconstructing the local service transactions â�?�? measuring it, monitoring it, improving it and enforcing it,” Angie’s List CEO Bill Oesterle said at the time.

Square, based in San Francisco, has raised over $340 million in funding and has a reported valuation of $3.25 billion.

In a previous version of this post, I wondered whether this was the first time that Square technology has been integrated into an outside business’s app. It’s not: The company told me that the Obama and Romney campaigns also used Square technology.

Related research and analysis from GigaOM Pro:
Subscriber content. Sign up for a free trial.

  • The future of mobile: a segment analysis by GigaOM Pro
  • Mobile Q2: Smartphone growth surges; iPad’s rule continues
  • Consumer privacy in the mobile advertising era

Fed Notes Pause in Growth, Continues Stimulus

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The Federal Reserve said Wednesday that economic growth "paused" in recent months because of temporary factors and reaffirmed its commitment to boost a sluggish U.S. economy by keeping borrowing cheap for the foreseeable future.

The Fed took no new action at its two-day policy meeting. But it stood behind aggressive steps it launched in December to try to reduce unemployment, in a statement released after the meeting.

Last month the Fed said it would keep its key short-term interest rate at a record low at least until unemployment falls below 6.5 percent. The rate is currently 7.8 percent.

And it said it would keep buying $85 billion a month in Treasurys and mortgage bonds to try to keep borrowing costs low and encourage spending.

Earlier in the day, the Commerce Department said the economy shrank at an annual rate of 0.1 percent in Q4 2012 mainly because companies restocked at a slower rate and the government slashed defense spending.

In its statement, the Fed said "economic activity paused in recent months, in large part because of weather-related disruptions and other transitory factors."

Despite the slowdown, the statement noted that hiring continued to expand at a moderate pace, consumer spending and business investment increased and the housing sector showed further improvement. And it said strains in global financial markets have eased somewhat, but cautioned that risks remain.

The Fed's decision to continue its stimulus program was largely expected and had little impact on stock and bond prices.

The statement made no mention of looming government spending cuts that will take effect in March if Congress and President Barack Obama don't reach a deal to avert them.

Diane Swonk, chief economist at Mesirow Financial, suspects the minutes of the meeting, which will be released in three weeks, will reveal deeper concerns about budget fight.

"The Fed is very cognizant about how it characterizes the economy," Swonk said. "They are worried about a self-fulfilling prophecy of talking the economy down too much."

The statement was approved on an 11-1 vote. Esther George, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, cast the lone dissenting vote. George, who is a new voting member, expressed concerns about the risk of higher inflation caused by the Fed's aggressive policies.

In December, the Fed signaled for the first time that it will tie its policies to specific economic barometers. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke made clear during a news conference that even after unemployment falls below 6.5 percent, the Fed might decide that it needs to keep stimulating the economy. Other economic factors will also shape its policy decisions, he said.

The guidance was designed to give consumers, companies and investors a clearer sense of when super-low borrowing costs might start to rise.

The Fed also said it would continue its bond purchases until the job market improved "substantially."

When it buys bonds, the Fed increases its investment portfolio and pumps more money into the financial system -- something critics say could eventually ignite inflation or create dangerous bubbles in assets like real estate or stocks.

On Friday, the government will release its jobs report for January. Unemployment is expected to remain at 7.8 percent. That still-high rate, 3� years after the Great Recession officially ended, helps explain why the Fed has kept its key short-term rate at a record low near zero since December 2008, just after the financial crisis erupted.

Still, some private economists think the Fed will decide to suspend its bond purchases in the second half of this year. They note that the minutes of the Fed's December meeting revealed a split: Some of the 12 voting members thought the bond purchases would be needed through 2013. Others felt the purchases should be slowed or stopped altogether before year's end.

link

ITT Educational Services Puts On the Dunce Cap

Typically when companies forecast lower sales or profits, their stocks take a hit. It's not always easy to tell whether it's having a fire sale or burning down its house. Maybe it is time to get out -- or maybe it's time to buy more!

For-profit education provider ITT Educational Services (NYSE: ESI  ) got left back yet again after disappointing the markets with a fourth-quarter effort that saw lower enrollment amid greater scrutiny of industry marketing practices. Its outlook for 2013 earned a failing grade, too, forecasting per-share profits between $3.50 and $4.00, well below expectations of $4.66 per share. The stock has lost three-quarters of its value over past year as the toll of government investigations mounted.

Now, don't blindly follow those selling (or buying) on this apparent bearish signal: You still need to dig further. We'll just use the announcement as a jumping off point for additional research.

Like lemmings over the cliff
For-profit schools have been the target of critics for well over a decade because of high dropout rates, alleged misuse of federal monies, improper marketing tactics, and more. The animus against the industry grew under the Obama administration, with the Education Department implementing tough gainful-employment regulations that mandate better assistance for students landing a job after graduation, and Sen. Tom Harkin (D-Iowa) leading a crusade against educators, resulting in a massive (though error-riddled) report condemning their practices.

In its wake, for-profit educators have tumbled. Apollo Group (NASDAQ: APOL  ) saw a 14% drop in degreed enrollments in the fiscal first quarter at its University of Phoenix division, the largest college in the country, and its stock is down 63% from a year ago. Corinthian Colleges (NASDAQ: COCO  ) , which came in for particularly sharp words in the Senate report for having a student loan default rate 64% higher than the industry average, is operating under special monitoring procedures from Education, which disputes its calculations of financial responsibility as required to receive federal Title IV funding. It may force the school to post a letter of credit that could significantly hamper its ability to operate and may put it at odds with its lenders.

Sent to detention
Cost-cutting, layoffs, and campus closures have also been the hallmark of the industry lately. Career Education (NASDAQ: CECO  ) announced it was closing 23 campuses recently and laying off 900 employees as new enrollment dropped 23% and it reported losses of almost $110 million in the first three quarters of 2012.

While I don't support the government's war against the schools, it doesn't mean it's the best use of a student's money to go to one, either. And it's certainly not a particularly good time to invest in them. The stricter admission policies and heightened regulation have caused more students to hesitate enrolling, making it difficult for the schools to raise tuition rates. On top of experiencing higher bad debt expenses as a percentage of revenues even as its revenue per student declines, ITT also just reported it would pay Sallie Mae $46 million to settle a loan dispute stemming from an agreement it signed with the student lender back in 2007. The educator just keeps flunking out.

End of the marking period
With the first gainful-employment report cards due out by the end of the month, for-profit educators might be in for a rough period should they once again put the industry in a poor light. Some educators indicate they are already in compliance with the standards, such as DeVry (NYSE: DV  ) , which said that before the courts gutted most of the regulations, it didn't have any programs that failed to meet the standards.

ITT doesn't say whether its programs passed or failed, but it does note it was changing a bunch of programs to conform with the requirements and that those standards were also putting pressure on tuition rates because students can't have too much indebtedness if the school wants to continue receiving federal funding.

Although the schools look cheap at these depressed valuations, they have a lot of risk attached to them yet. ITT goes for less than three times earnings and around five times estimates, making it one of the cheapest for-profit schools around, but with this cloud hanging over them, I couldn't recommend touching any of them at the moment.

Let me know in the comments box below whether you agree you'd have to be a dunce to invest here, or if you think these companies are about to graduate to the next level.

Looking under rocks
While for-profit schools have a role in the economy, they might not be the best place to park your money. Really, the best investing approach is to choose great companies and stick with them for the long term. In our free report "3 Stocks That Will Help You Retire Rich," we name stocks that could help you build long-term wealth and retire well, along with some winning wealth-building strategies that every investor should be aware of.�To read it,�click here now.

RIMM: First Peek at a Z10

The company formerly known as Research in Motion (RIMM) was kind enough to give guests at its BlackBerry 10 event in Manhattan this morning units of the new Z10 smartphone to take away and try. I haven’t had a chance to dig into it yet, but I’m looking forward to it. A passerby on the Street, observing me handling the machine, asked if it was the new BlackBerry. Yes, I said. “It looks like the iPhone!” he shouted. Perhaps…

I’ll tell you one thing: the device is not in any way hobbled by hardware power. Unlike Palm‘s ill-fated Pre and Pixi, which had rather sluggish electronics from day one, everything feels swift and smooth on the Z10, at least in my cursory examination. Thank goodness for that!

 

Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Why Meritor Shares Tumbled

Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

What: Shares of auto-parts maker Meritor (NYSE: MTOR  ) were spinning out today, falling as much as 16% after reporting a disappointing quarter.

So what: Sales dropped 23% to $891 million, and the company posted an adjusted loss for the quarter at 11 cents per share. These figures were well below market expectations of a 4-cent EPS profit and sales of $940 million. Sales in both of its Commercial Truck & Industrial and Aftermarket & Trailer segments dropped, and the company took steps toward eliminating 200 jobs. CEO Chip McClure blamed "market conditions outside of North America" for the results, adding that reduced military spending also hurt profits.

Now what: Meritor dialed back its 2013 outlook as well, cutting revenue projections from $4 billion to $3.8 billion, and sees slightly negative free cash flow for the year. Management is holding EPS guidance of $0.25 to $0.35, but that is still below analyst expectations of 46 cents. With Ford predicting that the European market will get worse before it gets better, the recent bull run in auto stocks could be coming to a close. I'd keep an eye on industry leaders and on conditions across the Atlantic.

Get more Meritor. Add the company to your Watchlist here. �

Boeing Ramps Up Next-Gen 737 Production to 38 Per Month

Aerospace giant Boeing (NYSE: BA  ) announced Tuesday that�it has begun increasing the production rate of its Next-Generation 737 airliners. The company has begun to manufacture the aircraft at a rate of 38 per month -- a 20% increase over the past two years, from 31.5 to 38.

The rate of manufacture is expected to further increase to 42 such aircraft per month in 2014. Assembly began on the first aircraft to be built under this plan on Tuesday, with its delivery scheduled to come in the second quarter of 2013.

Beverly Wyse, Boeing's 737 program vice president and general manager, was quoted in a company press release as saying, "The first spar load serves as the defining moment for our latest rate break, and the 737 team did it as planned, on schedule."

Boeing said there were 176 months between announcing its first Next-Generation 737 order and its 5,000th order.

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The Humble Origins of World-Changing Businesses

On this day in economic and financial history...

Every great company starts with a great idea, but establishing the company itself is necessary to make that idea commercially viable. That's why, several years after the famous drink's invention, Atlanta businessman Asa G. Candler incorporated Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO  ) in Atlanta on Jan. 29, 1892.

Candler had taken full control of the Coke name and trademarks a year earlier by buying out its early stakeholders. These stakeholders had acquired Coke from from John Pemberton, an Atlanta pharmacist who had invented the fizzy brown soft drink in 1886 and had sold it in a local pharmacy until his death in 1888. In total, Candler spent $2,300 to get a hold of the business, which, at about $57,000 in present-day value, is cheaper than the cost of opening a single fast-food franchise -- not to mention vastly more profitable. Within three years, Coke became a national product, and by the end of the 19th century Coke had already pioneered the basic soft-drink industry model that's still used today. There were Coke coupons, Coke advertisements, and Coke-branded products, as well as rapid mass-bottling plants and the efficient distribution networks to reach the broadest possible market. However, Coke's best days were still ahead of it.

Coke under Candler was a reluctant adopter of bottling, but by 1916 the need for a distinctive branding style was vital to fend off a wave of copycat beverages. That year, Coke unveiled the iconic contour bottle, designed to be unique enough to recognize by touch in the dark. By this point, Coke had begun its international expansion, but Candler also had political ambitions, and he stepped down in 1916 to become the mayor of Atlanta. Three years later, Candler and his family sold the company's principal assets to a team of investors for $25 million, earning more than a 1 million percent return on the original $2,300 purchase price.

Coke went public shortly after Candler sold with a public market cap of $30 million between common and nonvoting preferred shares. At the time of its offering, Coke was earning roughly $9 million in pre-tax income on sales of about 19 million gallons of syrup. From the IPO to Coke's first iconic Christmas ads in 1931, investors enjoyed a 1,000% total gain. From 1931 to 2011, investors enjoyed gains of a further 2.1 million percent, making it one of the single best stocks to have owned for the long term in modern history. Coke also happens to be the current Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) component with the longest intermission between membership periods. Originally added in 1932, Coke was replaced in 1935 but returned in 1987 -- a 52-year absence that deprived the index of a tremendous amount of potential growth.

Can Coke's second century as a public company come anywhere near its first in terms of incredible shareholder returns? You can get the inside scoop in our exclusive premium research service, where our best consumer goods analysts are constantly working to keep you informed on Coke's big news and future prospects. Click here to subscribe today.

Get ready for the boom
The Nasdaq Composite is well-known for one of the most incredible (and unsustainable) bull runs of any index in history. On Jan. 29, 1999, that bull run reached its midpoint when the Nasdaq closed above 2,500 points for the first time. At the time, the Nasdaq was just finishing its best monthly gain in 24 years, driven higher by news of extremely strong GDP growth for 1998's fourth quarter. The Dow followed a similar pattern, rising 0.8% compared to the Nasdaq's 1.2% to finish at 9,359 points for the day.

It had taken the Nasdaq a bit longer than two years to double from 1,250, reached in early October of 1996, but the next double would be the big one. In just more than 13 months, the Nasdaq skyrocketed to its all-time high of more than 5,000 points, as IPO after IPO of flimsy Internet companies doubled (or more) through 1999 and into the first three months of 2000. The Nasdaq closed its 14th year since reaching 2,500 with a gain of 26%, but today the tech-heavy index remains 37% below its all-time highs.

The birth of the auto industry
On Jan. 29, 1886, Carl Benz applied for a German patent for a "vehicle powered by a gas engine," a three-wheeled open carriage with a four-stroke engine driving the rear wheels. Known as the Benz Patent-Motorwagen, this working machine is generally regarded as the first automobile, which makes its patent filing the automobile's official birth certificate. It looked flimsy, and its power output was about equal to that of a small lawnmower, but this car helped to change the world.

Two years after the filiing, Benz's wife Bertha took their sons on the first-ever long-distance automobile ride through several German towns. The Patent-Motorwagen stood up to a 112-mile journey with some minor repairs, in the process establishing the first fueling station in history (when the trio stopped at a pharmacy for petroleum ether) and the first brake linings in history (out of shoe leather nailed to the brake blocks). This historic ride gave Benz the publicity necessary to successfully grow into its modern form of Mercedes-Benz, Daimler's (NASDAQOTH: DDAIF  ) most important auto brand.

More than a century later, the global auto industry has grown into a massive component of the world economy. More than 60 million cars were produced around the world in 2012, supporting millions of jobs and trillions of dollars in total related revenue. It might well have begun with some other inventor, but Carl Benz was in the right place at the right time with the right idea. Thanks to him, Jan. 29 is the day we celebrate the birth of the auto industry.

Labor vs. the feds
President Andrew Jackson's tenure is notable for two key economic events. He is the only president to have overseen a period of debt-free federal government, and he is also popularly known as the president who killed the central bank of the United States. On Jan. 29, 1834, Jackson added "strike-buster" to his resume by becoming the first president to put down a labor uprising with federal forces.

That day, construction workers on the Chesapeake and Ohio Canal were rioting over how terrible their jobs were. (If you had to work long hours for low pay, digging a deep ditch with little more than a hand shovel and a pickaxe, then you might riot, too.) The canal project had been a long-standing boondoggle due to the rocky terrain between the Chesapeake Bay and the Ohio River Valley, to say nothing of the landowners in the canal's proposed path. But that didn't stop legislators from attempting the project with immigrant and slave labor. Federal backing of the canal project prompted Jackson to send federal troops to quell the riot on Jan. 29, which set a precedent that would last well into the 20th century; a number of labor movements were put down with federal or state forces over the following century. But this alone would be the Chesapeake and Ohio Canal's legacy: It was abandoned in 1850, having reached no farther than western Maryland.

Admit it: Tobacco is bad for you
For decades, tobacco executives denied that their product was dangerous despite decades of warnings from a wide range of official sources. On Jan. 29, 1998, the wall the industry had built against government questioning and public concern finally broke open when RJR Nabisco CEO Steven Goldstone admitted to the House Commerce Committee that nicotine was addictive and posed health risks. Industry executives had recently gained immunity from further lawsuits and prosecutions with the Tobacco Master Settlement Agreement, a colossal $368 billion judgment that would be paid out over 25 years to most of the American states for health claims. With this cloak of immunity protecting them, industry execs felt free enough to admit that they were not peddling healthful products.

Goldstone's testimony marked a turning point in the tobacco industry's battle against the government. With its cards on the table, the industry seemed weak, but Congress could not agree to push through the original Agreement as written. RJR wound up pulling out of the Agreement as Congress dithered, which forced the government to accept a lesser settlement toward the end of 1998. The settlement prompted a wave of industry restructuring and rebranding. RJR's tobacco operations became Reynolds American (NYSE: RAI  ) , industry leader Altria (NYSE: MO  ) changed its name and spun off much of its operations, and Loews�separated out Lorillard as an independent public company after a multiyear process of stake reduction. Since that time, these three companies have thrived on the markets: In the 15 years following Goldstone's admission, Altria is up 777%, Reynolds American has grown 1,250%, and Lorillard has doubled since going public in 2008.

Altria has been the best-performing stock of the past 50 years, but as the number of smokers in the U.S. continues to steadily decline, is Altria still a buy today? To find out whether everyone's love-to-hate dividend stock is a savvy investment choice or a hazard to your portfolio, simply click here now for access to The Motley Fool's new premium research report on the company.

CFPB Mortgage Rules Invalid

President Barack Obama’s appointment of former Ohio attorney general Richard Cordray to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has been ruled unconstitutional by the federal court and experts believe the result will be the invalidation of several mortgage rules planned by the agency, including the “qualified mortgage” rule and new mortgage servicing standards. The rules, designed to prevent lender abuses and predatory lending, will now likely be shelved while Republicans demand leadership changes. For more on this continue reading the following article from TheStreet.

Uncertainty over the confirmation of Richard Cordray to the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau may call into question recent mortgage rules proposed by the agency.

A federal court ruled last week that President Obama's recess appointments to the National Labor Board were unconstitutional. That affects Obama's recess appointment of Cordray, a former Ohio state attorney general, to the CFPB as well.

Obama made that appointment in January 2012 deeming the Senate to be in recess. Republicans who had blocked Cordray's confirmation to the Senate were furious over the move, calling it unconstitutional because the Senate was technically in session -- the House of Representatives was having someone bang the gavel every three days to keep Congress in session.

"Since the legal principles in both cases are the same, based on today's case, Mr. Cordray's appointment could be struck down as unconstitutional and invalid," KBW analyst Brian Gardner wrote in a report. "In our view, if a party wanted to sue the CFPB, there is a good chance the CFPB's rules, which have been implemented by Director Cordray, would be struck down as invalid."

Read more on the implications of the ruling here.

The analyst says if Cordray's appointment was overturned, the acting director of the CFPB would have to re-propose all the prior rules and have a new rule-writing process.

"In our view, the uncertainty stemming from such a process would be unsettling to the markets and hamper economic activity," he said.

The CFPB recently proposed a number of new rules that are expected to shape the future of the mortgage market. The most significant was the qualified mortgage rule, which clearly defines what kind of mortgages could be made in the future and to whom, and gives banks that make qualified mortgages enhanced legal protection.

The agency also proposed new servicing standards that servicers will have to comply with when dealing with delinquent borrowers.

The rules are expected to prevent the predatory lending practices that dominated the boom years as well as the foreclosure-law abuses that followed in its aftermath.

Since the recess appointment, scheduled to last through 2013, is invalid, KBW says the Senate will block Cordray's nomination to a full term. That will also give Senate Republicans leverage to demand changes in the CFPB's management structure, requiring a five-member commission and subjecting the agency to the Congress' budget process rather than receiving funding from the Federal Reserve.

"This could result in a watering down of the CFPB's ability to act in the future," the analysts wrote.

Oncolytics Presents Promising Phase 1 Data in Colorectal Cancer

Oncolytics Biotech (NASDAQ: ONCY  ) presented promising phase 1 data for its cancer drug Reolysin at the ASCO Gastrointestinal Cancers Symposium this weekend.

Reolysin was tested in combination with a cocktail of chemotherapy drugs called FOLFIRI in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. The drugs produced a progression-free survival -- the amount of time it takes for the disease to progress or the patient to die -- of 7.4 months. Without a control group to compare it to and taking into account that there were only 21 patients in the study, it's difficult to interpret the PFS data.

There was one partial response and nine patients who had stable disease among the 18 patients who were evaluable�for response. Most impressive was that some of the patients that responded had previously progressed on irinotecan, the IRI in FOLFIRI.

Oncolytics, in collaboration with the National Cancer Institute of Canada, has already started a phase 2 trial testing Reolysin in combination with Roche's Avastin�and a chemotherapy cocktail called FOLFOX compared a control group that will get just FOLFOX and Avastin.

Reolysin is being tested multiple other clinical trials in different tumor types. The most advanced study is in a phase 3 trial in head and neck cancers.

Top 12 Challenges for Independent Broker-Dealers

Dennis Gallant’s rapid-fire session on the major challenges affecting the independent broker-dealer industry had the full attention of senior executives in the audience.

The presentation, titled “Attacking the Challenges of Running an Independent Firm Today” and delivered on Tuesday at the FSI OneVoice Conference in San Diego, focused on the results of a survey deployed by FSI prior to the conference. The survey sought to identify and rank by importance the issues with which broker-dealers are grappling.

Gallant, proprietor of Gallant Distribution Consulting, began by arguing that independent broker-dealer advisors are “the best advisors in the market” and independent broker-dealers themselves are superbly positioned for growth.

The IBD channel provides the greatest flexibility for advisors to meet client needs, he said. They are more planning-oriented; are the best practitioners in delivering retirement income; lead the market in serving more retirement income clients; serve a broader range of client affluence than peer channels; and are more innovative, with the pool or bucket philosophy for income management developed out of the IBD marketplace.

“The issue is that the model was designed in the days of execution and trading,” Gallant said. “How do you effectively support all the things an advisor needs today in order to compete? Wirehouses are under the same pressures and have decided to focus on mainly high-end advisors, which is bringing in revenue now but is not sustainable long term.”

Gallant noted the growing demand for advice and the need to recover and rebuild portfolios. Investors are seeking assistance and are unsure where to turn to for help. The complexity of consumer needs favors using an experienced advisor, he added, and a supply and demand imbalance is occurring in conjunction with a shrinking pool of skilled advisors.

“Independent BDs are the largest advisor channel by number of advisors,” he said. “Fully 71% of IBD firms surveyed believed independent BDs will continue to grow and gain market share from wirehouses and other channels.”

He then revealed the top IBD challenges, ranked in descending order of importance according to the survey’s results:

  • Regulatory environment
  • Advisor recruitment
  • Achieving profitability
  • The market/economic environment
  • Delivering effective technology solutions
  • Advisor retention
  • Satisfying advisors
  • Retaining qualified home office talent
  • Building and maintaining infrastructure
  • Growing competition
  • Attracting qualified home office talent
  • Clearing firm support
  • “I’m not surprised by any of these. The key is to identify the ones you can change and influence," he said. “I don’t see a let-up in the regulatory and recruiting environments anytime soon, but advisor retention and attracting and retaining qualified home office can be effectively addressed. The problem is that they were way down on the list.” The economics are shifting from the recruiting of advisors to the retention of advisors, he added, and attracting and retaining qualified home office staff directly impacts advisor retention.

    Moving to technology, Gallant noted the horse race between firms, but said the question becomes how their advisors are using it. Are they getting all they can from the investment?

    “The level of advisor production directly impacts profitability. The home office constantly releases new technology, but advisors can’t use it, so they’re not getting all they could.”

    As for recruiting, “no one is really saying recruiting is meeting expectations.”

    “My big thing is this,” Gallant said, referring to advisory service and support. “It ranks forth as a priority and on actions taken. Firms are expanding their corporate RIA resources, but getting advisors to transition to fees is still a challenge. They are expanding their platforms and evaluating the benefits and trade-offs of proprietary, private label and TAMP efforts. The industry has focused on creating an advisory offering. It now needs to focus efforts on helping advisors best use it.”

    None of the broker-dealer respondents are making what Gallant called “monumental shifts.”

    “They are incremental changes and they’re not making a lot of headway,” he concluded. “If I do this survey a year from now, I feel I’ll get the same answers.”

    ---------

    Check out complete conference coverage at AdvisorOne’s FSI OneVoice 2013 enhanced landing page.

    Sanmina Misses on the Top and Bottom Lines

    Sanmina (Nasdaq: SANM  ) reported earnings on Jan. 28. Here are the numbers you need to know.

    The 10-second takeaway
    For the quarter ended Dec. 29 (Q1), Sanmina missed estimates on revenues and missed estimates on earnings per share.

    Compared to the prior-year quarter, revenue shrank slightly and GAAP earnings per share dropped significantly.

    Margins dropped across the board.

    Revenue details
    Sanmina reported revenue of $1.49 billion. The six analysts polled by S&P Capital IQ expected sales of $1.53 billion on the same basis. GAAP reported sales were 0.5% lower than the prior-year quarter's $1.50 billion.

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

    EPS details
    EPS came in at $0.29. The seven earnings estimates compiled by S&P Capital IQ predicted $0.34 per share. GAAP EPS of $0.01 for Q1 were 90% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.10 per share.

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

    Margin details
    For the quarter, gross margin was 6.5%, 80 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 2.1%, 90 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 0.0%, 60 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

    Looking ahead
    Next quarter's average estimate for revenue is $1.49 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.32.

    Next year's average estimate for revenue is $6.15 billion. The average EPS estimate is $1.47.

    Investor sentiment
    The stock has a four-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 126 members out of 153 rating the stock outperform, and 27 members rating it underperform. Among 51 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 41 give Sanmina a green thumbs-up, and 10 give it a red thumbs-down.

    Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Sanmina is outperform, with an average price target of $10.64.

    If you're interested in companies like Sanmina, you might want to check out the jaw-dropping technology that's about to put 100 million Chinese factory workers out on the street � and the 3 companies that control it. We'll tell you all about them in "The Future is Made in America." Click here for instant access to this free report.

    • Add Sanmina to My Watchlist.

    Chesapeake CEO to Retire

    On Tuesday, in a move that sent its share price skyrocketing, No. 2 U.S. natural gas producer Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK  ) broke the news that controversial CEO Aubrey McClendon will retire.

    The chairman and chief executive officer of Chesapeake up until 2012, when he gave up the first title, McClendon plans to retire from the company on April 1. In the interim, he will remain CEO and retain his seat on the board, pending the choice of a replacement.

    In a statement, Chesapeake's Board of Directors made a point of noting that McClendon's "retirement" is not related to any finding that he has acted improperly. To the contrary, it said: "The Board's extensive review to date has not revealed improper conduct by Mr. McClendon. The Board and Mr. McClendon's decision to commence a search for a new leader is not related to the Board's pending review of his financing arrangements and other matters."

    Nevertheless, go he will. Over the next two months, McClendon will begin a "transition" period, gradually handing off "certain day-to-day management responsibilities" to company Chief Operating Officer Steven C. Dixon and Chief Financial Officer Domenic J. Dell'Osso Jr., before finally handing his whole portfolio of responsibilities over to Chesapeake's new boss.

    Upon retirement, McClendon is expected to receive a substantial compensation package -- which will surely be a story in itself. He will also continue to own "interests in certain of the company's wells in connection with the Founder Well Participation Program, which will terminate on June 30, 2014."

    More Expert Advice from The Motley Fool

    Energy investors would be hard-pressed to find another company trading at a deeper discount than Chesapeake Energy. Its share price depreciated after negative news surfaced concerning the company's management and spiraling debt picture. While these issues still persist, giant steps have been taken to help mitigate the problems. To learn more about Chesapeake and its enormous potential, you're invited to check out The Motley Fool's brand new premium report on the company. Simply click here now to access your copy, and as an added bonus, you'll receive a full year of key updates and expert guidance as news continues to develop.

    Tuesday, January 29, 2013

    Why VMware Shares Got Walloped

    Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.

    What: Shares of virtualization software specialist VMware (NYSE: VMW  ) plummeted 21% today after issuing guidance that disappointed Wall Street.

    So what: VMware's fourth-quarter results managed to top estimates -- adjusted EPS of $0.81 on revenue of $1.29 billion -- but downbeat first-quarter and full-year guidance reignites concerns over slowing growth. Naturally, shares of parent EMC (NYSE: EMC  ) , whose stake in VMware accounts for roughly 60% of its own value, are also falling on the gloomy outlook.

    Now what: VMware now sees first-quarter revenue of $1.17 billion-$1.19 billion and full-year 2013 revenue of $5.23 billion-$5.35 billion, below the consensus of $1.25 billion and $5.42 billion, respectively. "We see a tremendous market opportunity in 2013 and beyond," CEO Pat Gelsinger reassured investors, "as we focus on what our customers value most: VMware's role as a pioneer of virtualization technologies that radically simplify IT infrastructure from the data center to the virtual workspace." Of course, given VMware's weak outlook for 2013 and management's plan to cut about 900 jobs, or 7% of its workforce, don't expect the stock to turnaround to come quickly.

    Interested in more info on VMWare? Add it to your watchlist.

    2013 and beyond
    The Motley Fool's chief investment officer has selected his No. 1 stock for the next year. Find out which stock it is in our brand-new free report: "The Motley Fool's Top Stock for 2013." I invite you to take a copy, free for a limited time. Just click here to access the report and find out the name of this under-the-radar company.

    See the Future for Interface by Checking This

    Here at The Motley Fool, I've long cautioned investors to keep a close eye on inventory levels. It's a part of my standard diligence when searching for the market's best stocks. I think a quarterly checkup can help you spot potential problems. For many companies, products that sit on the shelves too long can become big trouble. Stale inventory may be sold for lower prices, hurting profitability. In extreme cases, it may be written off completely and sent to the shredder.

    Basic guidelines
    In this series, I examine inventory using a simple rule of thumb: Inventory increases ought to roughly parallel revenue increases. If inventory bloats more quickly than sales grow, this might be a sign that expected sales haven't materialized. Is the current inventory situation at Interface (Nasdaq: TILE  ) out of line? To figure that out, start by comparing the company's inventory growth to sales growth. How is Interface doing by this quick checkup? At first glance, pretty well. Trailing-12-month revenue increased 5.9%, and inventory decreased 13.6%. Comparing the latest quarter to the prior-year quarter, the story looks decent. Revenue contracted 2.4%, and inventory dropped 13.6%. NA

    Advanced inventory
    I don't stop my checkup there, because the type of inventory can matter even more than the overall quantity. There's even one type of inventory bulge we sometimes like to see. You can check for it by examining the quarterly filings to evaluate the different kinds of inventory: raw materials, work-in-progress inventory, and finished goods. (Some companies report the first two types as a single category.)

    A company ramping up for increased demand may increase raw materials and work-in-progress inventory at a faster rate when it expects robust future growth. As such, we might consider oversized growth in those categories to offer a clue to a brighter future, and a clue that most other investors will miss. We call it "positive inventory divergence."

    On the other hand, if we see a big increase in finished goods, that often means product isn't moving as well as expected, and it's time to hunker down with the filings and conference calls to find out why.

    What's going on with the inventory at Interface? I chart the details below for both quarterly and 12-month periods.

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. Data is current as of latest fully reported quarter. Dollar amounts in millions. FY = fiscal year. TTM = trailing 12 months.

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. Data is current as of latest fully reported quarter. Dollar amounts in millions. FQ = fiscal quarter.

    Let's dig into the inventory specifics. On a trailing-12-month basis, raw materials inventory was the fastest-growing segment, up 2.0%. On a sequential-quarter basis, each segment of inventory decreased. NA

    Foolish bottom line
    When you're doing your research, remember that aggregate numbers such as inventory balances often mask situations that are more complex than they appear. Even the detailed numbers don't give us the final word. When in doubt, listen to the conference call, or contact investor relations. What at first looks like a problem may actually signal a stock that will provide great returns. And what might look hunky-dory at first glance could actually be warning you to cut your losses before the rest of the Street wises up.

    Looking for alternatives to Interface? It takes more than great companies to build a fortune for the future. Learn the basic financial habits of millionaires next door and get focused stock ideas in our free report, "3 Stocks That Will Help You Retire Rich." Click here for instant access to this free report.

    • Add Interface �to My Watchlist.

    Resource firms boost FTSE 100, GSK rises

    LONDON (MarketWatch) � Resource firms led U.K. stocks higher on Tuesday, tracking gains for most commodity prices, while GlaxoSmithKline PLC rose after a broker upgrade.

    The FTSE 100 index UK:UKX gained 0.2% to 6,303.93, on track for a fifth straight day of gains.

    Click to Play North Korea readies nuclear test

    With the latest threat of nuclear tests, North Korea may face sanctions from the international community. The WSJ's Evan Ramstad explains why the reclusive state is ramping up its nuclear ambitions.

    Shares of Anglo American PLC UK:AAL put in one of the best performances in the index, up 2.3%, after the miner said it would write down the value of its Minas-Rio iron-ore project by $4 billion, but said it remains confident about the project�s medium and long term attractiveness. See: Anglo American: Minas-Rio CapEx to reach $8.8B

    Other miners were also on the rise, as most metals prices showed positive moves. Shares of Kazakhmys PLC UK:KAZ gained 1.5%, Rio Tinto PLC UK:RIO RIO AU:RIO gained 1.4% and BHP Billiton PLC UK:BLT rose 0.4%.

    Reuters Royal Bank of Scotland shares drop on Tuesday, after a broker downgrade the previous day.

    Oil firms further advanced, as oil prices CLH3 climbed closer to $97 a barrel. BP PLC UK:BP �BP picked up 0.8%, Royal Dutch Shell PLC RDS.B UK:RDSB gained 0.6% and BG Group PLC UK:BG rose 0.1%.

    Shares of GlaxoSmithKline UK:GSK GSK added 0.5%, after�Barclays raised its recommendation on the drug maker to overweight from equal weight.

    �We believe that stabilization in the earnings outlook could mark a change in sentiment towards the shares and a greater appreciation that GSK is entering a stable period of consistent 3% growth with modest pipeline assumptions,� Barclays analysts wrote.

    Banks, on the other hand, traded in red territory. Shares of Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC UK:RBS RBS slumped 3.3%, after Goldman Sachs Monday afternoon cut the bank to sell from neutral.

    Also, The Wall Street Journal on Tuesday reported that U.S. authorities are pushing RBS to agree to a settlement of interest-rate-rigging allegations that would include pleading guilty to criminal charges as well as a fine. RBS executives are resisting the push for a guilty plea, the report said. See: U.S. seeking criminal charges for RBS: WSJ.

    Lloyds Banking Group PLC UK:LLOY fell 1.1% and Barclays PLC UK:BARC BCS dropped 1.4%.

    Shares of Experian PLC UK:EXPN shed 0.8%. The credit-check company said its 2013 guidance, which was laid out in the third-quarter earnings statement earlier in January, remains unchanged.

    S&P 500 Correlation Hits 6-Year Low

    Here’s a tidy tidbit from the folks at Pavilion Global Markets:

    Equities are finally done trading as a monolithic bloc. The average six-month correlation of weekly returns between S&P 500 constituents and the index itself has dropped to 0.41. This is the lowest average correlation since the beginning of 2007. This is also the biggest 12-month drop in average correlation over the past 22 years.

    And here’s a chart to illustrate:

     

    As the researchers note, the kind of drop we’ve seen isn’t common — before the recent decline there’d been only five instances since 1991 of correlation falling by more than 0.25. When it does happen, however, stocks have subsequently risen, on average by 2.1% in the following six months.

    What�s interesting is that drops in correlation between stocks are also a buy signal for cyclical equities. As the table above shows, Industrials and IT usually lead the market in that environment. Defensive sectors such as Staples, Health Care and Utilities usually decline in the six months following correlation pullbacks. The Financial sector also declines 3.4% on average over the period. The exception would be Telecom stocks, which do well in this environment.

    Of course, as noted above, such drops don’t happen very often so these average reactions are taken from a small sample size; nevertheless it’s an interesting trend to watch, and the evidence we do have suggests it’ll be good for the market.

    Are You Expecting This from Saia?

    Saia (Nasdaq: SAIA  ) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Jan. 30. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

    The 10-second takeaway
    Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Saia's revenues will expand 3.6% and EPS will expand 113.3%.

    The average estimate for revenue is $262.1 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.32.

    Revenue details
    Last quarter, Saia recorded revenue of $278.0 million. GAAP reported sales were 3.6% higher than the prior-year quarter's $268.3 million.

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

    EPS details
    Last quarter, EPS came in at $0.56. GAAP EPS of $0.56 for Q3 were 87% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.30 per share.

    Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

    Recent performance
    For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 13.7%, 280 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 5.9%, 230 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 3.3%, 150 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

    Looking ahead

    The full year's average estimate for revenue is $1.10 billion. The average EPS estimate is $1.93.

    Investor sentiment
    The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 103 members out of 114 rating the stock outperform, and 11 members rating it underperform. Among 26 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 23 give Saia a green thumbs-up, and three give it a red thumbs-down.

    Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Saia is outperform, with an average price target of $30.33.

    If you're interested in transportation companies like Saia, then you should check out our special report that features 3 companies who depend on, and invest in, that industry. Learn the basic financial habits of millionaires next door and get these 3 focused stock ideas in our free report, "3 Stocks That Will Help You Retire Rich." Click here for instant access to this free report.

    • Add Saia to My Watchlist.

    Stock futures off; Ford, confidence data ahead

    MADRID (MarketWatch) � U.S. stock-market futures pushed mostly lower on Tuesday, ahead of earnings from bellwethers Ford Motor Co. and Corning Inc., while data due later are expected to show strength in the housing market but a sharp drop in consumer confidence.

    Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJH3 �fell 21 points to 13,811, while those for the Standard & Poor�s 500 index SPH3 �eased 4.7 points to 1,492.40.

    Futures for the Nasdaq 100 index NDH3 �fell 9 points to 2,728.50.

    �With U.S. consumer-confidence data for January expected shortly after the opening bell, along with earnings news from names including Ford and Amazon, traders� resolve to keep building out this rally certainly has the potential to be tested yet again,� said Fawad Razaqzada, market strategist at GFT Markets, in a note on Tuesday. The Tell: Five critical things needed to keep the markets flying

    Click to Play Stocks on track for best month since October 2011

    Weakness in materials stocks weighed on the Dow Jones Industrial Average, as markets awaited earnings from Yahoo. Matt Jarzemsky reports on The News Hub. Photo: Getty Images.

    It�s a big week for economic data, with fourth-quarter gross domestic product and key January nonfarm-payroll numbers both out this week. Read: Wall Street's 'Super Bowl' set to kick off

    Ahead of that, Tuesday�s data are expected to show the S&P/Case-Shiller index of U.S. home prices edging down in November but rising annually on a non-seasonally adjusted basis, say economists polled by MarketWatch. That report is due for release at 9 a.m. Eastern time.

    At 10 a.m. Eastern, the Conference Board is scheduled to release its barometer of consumer confidence, which is expected at 64.3 for January against 65.1 in December, hitting a five-month low, according to economists. Higher payroll taxes and fiscal uncertainties are expected to contribute to the drop.

    Also Tuesday, the Fed�s two-day policy meeting is due to get underway, with the central bank expected to keep policy extremely loose in hopes businesses and investors will take more risks and the economy will pick up speed. A statement is expected at 2:15 p.m. Eastern on Wednesday. Read: Bernanke still chasing the elusive recovery

    The Tell: What to watch on U.S. economy on Tuesday

    Movers

    On the corporate front, several companies will report ahead of the opening bell. Among these, Ford F �is expected to post fourth-quarter earnings of 25 cents a share, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

    Corning Inc. GLW �is likely to report earnings of 33 cents a share in the fourth quarter.

    Getty Images Enlarge Image The 7-inch (17.7cm) new tablet Kindle Fire HD Family.

    Investors will be watching Amazon.com Inc. AMZN �shares after Wall Street�s closing bell on Tuesday. The online-retailing major is expected to report fourth-quarter profit of 28 cents a share on revenue of $22.26 billion, according to a survey of analysts by FactSet.

    VMware Inc. VMW �shares could move. The producer of virtualization software late on Monday reported fourth-quarter earnings above analysts� expectations and a weaker-than-expected first-quarter outlook. The company also said that it would cut 900 jobs and take a charge of $90 million to $110 million as it exits certain lines of business

    Seagate Technology Inc. STX �could be active after those shares dropped nearly 5% after hours on Monday. The producer of disk drives reported a 13% drop in fiscal-second-quarter profit. Adjusted earnings came in at $1.38 a share compared with the FactSet-derived estimate of $1.27.

    U.S. stocks finished mostly lower on Monday. After closing above 1,500 for the first time since December 2007, the Standard & Poor�s 500 index SPX �fell 2.78 points, or 0.2%, to finish at 1,500.18 on Monday. That snapped its longest winning streak in more than eight years. Read: S&P 500 snaps 8-session winning streak

    In overseas markets, Asia stocks finished mostly higher, with banks leading a solid rally in Japan, though Hong Kong markets lagged. Read: Asia stocks end mostly higher; Hong Kong lags

    Europe stocks nudged higher in choppy markets, led by resource stocks after upbeat German consumer-confidence data. Read: Europe stocks show upbeat trends, oil firms rise

    Oil prices edged higher, while gold gained.

    The dollar traded range-bound against most major currencies. Read: Dollar confined to range, but drops versus Aussie

    Also: Why tiny Cyprus is still too big to leave the euro

    Billionaire John Paulson's top small-cap picks

    Most small-cap companies don't get much attention in the media or the blogosphere, which often leaves them less efficiently priced than their larger peers. As one can expect, hedge funds take advantage of this phenomenon by dedicating their research teams to work on these stocks, generating a significant portion of their alpha in the process.

    Retail investors can use hedge funds' top small-cap picks as a market-beating strategy; we've determined that the most popular small-caps among hedge funds can earn about 120 basis points of alpha per month ( check out the details here).

    With this in mind, we're going to take a look at one fund in particular: John Paulson's Paulson & Co., which is mammoth in its size at nearly $12.7 billion. At first glance, John Paulson would appear to be one hedge fund manager that retail investors should avoid. After all, he has gained quite the reputation over the past two years for returns that have his clients red in the face.

    It's crucial to point out, though, that these issues are predominantly the result of his large investments in mega-cap stocks, in addition to his macro views. Like David Einhorn (see Einhorn's Huge Secret), Paulson's smaller positions have performed very well historically, proving that it's profitable to mimic these picks. We�re going to look at his top five. As is consistent with our strategy, each stock listed here had a market capitalization between $1 billion and $5 billion at the end of the third quarter.

    According to his latest 13F filing with the SEC, MetroPCS Communications PCS is John Paulson's top small-cap holding, sitting at the No. 10 spot in his overall portfolio. MetroPCS is up over 47% in the past six months, and at first glance, these gains appear to have come from positive sentiment surrounding the company's announced merger with T-Mobile USA. Since news of this deal broke on Oct. 3 of last year, however, shares of MetroPCS have actually lost 28.3%.

    The deal, which is expected to close in the first half of this year, will gradually transfer customers from MetroPCS to T-Mobile, with the former's network set for complete shutdown by 2015. The company is coming off of two consecutive colossal earnings beats and will report its 2012 fourth-quarter financials at the end of next month.

    With a price/earnings-to-growth ratio below 0.5 and 13 times year-ahead EPS, shares of MetroPCS are undoubtedly cheap, but with rumors of a bidding war between T-Mobile and Sprint still fresh, it's possible some investors are uncertain what the future will hold. Still, at these levels, it's hard not to mimic Paulson's bullishness. Billionaires Steve Cohen and James Dinan are among the hedge fund managers who are bullish on PCS.

    AMC Networks Inc AMCX , the broadcast and cable TV company, is Paulson's second-favorite small-cap, and is also a top pick of Christian Leone's Luxor Capital. AMC Networks' best asset is its original programming, which has generated double-digit viewership growth for shows like �Breaking Bad� and �The Walking Dead,� and the company is coming off a third-quarter earnings beat more than 25% above Wall Street's estimates.

    Despite appreciating more than 16% in 2013 alone, shares of AMC Networks are still fairly valued at 18.6 times forward EPS and an earnings growth multiple below 1.4. Furthermore, even though the company does not pay a dividend, there's more than enough growth here � the sell-side expects 33%-34% EPS expansion next year alone � to warrant further support from momentum-seeking investors.

    Next up we have CNO Financial Group Inc CNO , the mid-sized holding company for the insurers Washington National, Colonial Penn Life, Bankers Life and Casualty, and Conseco Insurance. A fixed-income investment advisory firm, 40/86 Advisors, is also a subsidiary of CNO.

    On the whole, shares of the holding company have risen by 28.6% in the past six months and still trade at a measly forward P/E of 10.0x. This discounted valuation is a result of the sell-side's extremely bullish EPS forecasts in excess of 40% growth next year, and Wall Street's average price target on the stock represents 10% upside from current levels.

    CNO pays a projected dividend yield of 0.8% at the moment, but it's quite possible we'll see a payout hike in 2013. Zacks , for one, recently upgraded the stock to an "Outperform" rating, partially due to the "prospects of significant capital deployment." Billionaire Israel Englander sold more than 90% of his position in CNO during the third quarter.

    Paulson's fourth-largest small-cap holding is NovaGold Resources NG . As its name suggests, NovaGold is primarily focused on gold discovery and extraction, with operations in Alaska and western Canada. Shares of the company have fallen 17.7% since July 26 of last year, when Barrick Gold Corp (ABX) announced that the duo's joint-owned Alaskan Donlin Creek project "no longer meets its investment criteria."

    This news essentially trounced any bullish thesis of NovaGold related to its Ambler spinoff earlier in the year, but it's worth noting that optimism over the company's efforts to sell at least 50% of its Galore Creek stake is riding high at the start of 2013. Wall Street expects earnings to double this year, and analysts' average price target on the stock represents an appreciation of more than twofold, so it's clear why Paulson is long.

    At the end of the last 13F filing period with the SEC, Paulson held shares of Gaylord Entertainment, making it his fifth-largest small-cap holding, sitting at the No. 16 spot in his 13F portfolio. Gaylord has since converted into REIT status effective at the start of 2013, and can now be traded as Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. RHP . Ryman has gained 4.6% since this reclassification became official, and currently offers value to investors at two times its book value � less than half that of the industry's average of 4.4x.

    Monday, January 28, 2013

    Stocks the Market Loves to Hate: Kodiak Oil & Gas

    Not every investor has the same opinion, and as they say, it does take two to make a market. Sometimes investors are too focused on the headlines which forces them to stay on the sidelines. By digging a little deeper than just the headlines, we can sometimes find a real jewel, or at least a misunderstood stock that could be poised to outperform.

    One company with headline numbers that don't paint a complete picture is�Kodiak Oil & Gas (NYSE: KOG  ) . Friend and Motley Fool blogger, Bob Zimmerman, recently named Kodiak one of his "3 Stooges of the Oil and Gas Industry." He's not alone in his concerns -- investors had sold more than 10% of its shares short as of the end of last year. However, I think investors need to be mindful that beneath the headlines there's more to the story.�

    Barely earning its keep?
    In his article Bob pointed out two concerns he had with Kodiak Oil & Gas. First, he raised the red flag noting that the company is barely earning any money despite massive revenue growth while its executives, he thought, seemed to be cashing out big time. While I see what he's saying, I think he's missing the bigger picture here.

    Take earnings: He noted that the company's revenue jumped 287% in 2011 yet earnings per share were just a penny in both the first and third quarters. What he's missing is that adjusted EBITDA actually skyrocketed 371% in FY11. The earnings per share number was affected by an unrealized loss which was related to a mark-to-market of a derivative investment that was used for commodity hedging. Utilizing hedging is important for smoothing out cash flow, but it can make the earnings look terrible. The numbers really look much more solid when taken in the context of how Kodiak hedges.�

    Run for the hills
    Bob also pointed out that insiders were big sellers over the past few months. Insider sales can look bad, but insiders sell for a variety of reasons, not necessarily because things are about to get bad. That's why I don't think recent insider sales at Kodiak should raise an alarm. The company's pay package for its executives is blended so that 26% of it is in the form of a salary that's not at risk, while the rest is at-risk based on management's performance in both the short and longer terms. Because longer-term, equity-based awards are at-risk, you can't always count it as a strike if an executive decides to take some of that at-risk money off the table.

    Pay packages have come under increased scrutiny over the past few years with Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK  ) and SandRidge Energy (NYSE: SD  ) being two of the most discussed. Sandridge's pay practices have brought about a proxy battle with one of its top shareholders as past missteps still yielded excessive compensation for management. Over at Chesapeake, CEO Aubrey McClendon will forgo his 2012 bonus while the board is looking to bring overall executive pay closer to the industry median level. Kodiak's pay practices in no way resemble the pay packages of these peers, and selling shares doesn't always portray a management team that's running for the hills.

    Foolish bottom line
    Of course there is more to this story than can be covered here. It's important for investors to dig deeper than the headlines and see what's really going on. While Kodiak might not be the best suited investment for your portfolio, that doesn't mean it's not a well-run company.

    In fact, I think that Kodiak Oil & Gas is a dynamic growth story with great opportunities and also great risks. In order to find out if Kodiak is right for your portfolio let us help you with your due diligence by�checking out our new premium report, which comes with a year of timely updates and analysis.

    Top Stocks For 1/28/2013-17

    Recordati and Nymox Pharmaceutical Corporation (Nasdaq:NYMX) announced recently the signing of a European licensing agreement for the development and commercialization of NX-1207, Nymox’s Phase III investigational drug currently in clinical development in the U.S. for the treatment of benign prostatic hyperplasia (BPH).

    Under the terms of the agreement, Recordati receives exclusive rights to develop and subsequently market and sell NX-1207 in Europe including Russia and the CIS, the Middle East, the Maghreb area of North Africa and South Africa (i.e. a total of 81 countries). The licensing agreement covers the use of NX-1207 for the treatment of BPH as the initial indication for development and commercialization. Recordati will make an upfront payment to Nymox of EURO 10 million (approximately $13 million); approval and sales milestones payments; and tiered supply and royalty payments of a minimum of 26% to increase progressively up to 40% of total net sales in the case specific contractual conditions are achieved.

    RBC Capital Markets, LLC served as financial advisor and provided assistance to Nymox with respect to this transaction.

    Nymox is a biotechnology company engaged in the research and development of therapeutics and diagnostics, with a particular emphasis on products targeted for the unmet needs of the aging population.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    GreenHouse Holdings, Inc. (OTCQB:GRHU) reported that it has been engaged to utilize Southern California Edison�s (SCE) Automated Demand Response (Auto-DR) program in Gulfstream Aerospace Corporation�s Long Beach, CA facility. GreenHouse is a qualified service provider of SCE�s Auto-DR program, providing site assessment, feasibility studies, project development, engineering, and installation of enabling technologies and complete processing of all incentives.

    Furthermore, GreenHouse Holdings reported the results of operations for the third quarter of Fiscal Year 2010 and is providing a shareholder update. Signed Letter of Intent to acquire Control Engineering, Inc (CEI). Headquartered in Costa Mesa, California and serving clients globally, CEI provides turnkey automation and control solutions including engineering, installation and integration services.

    Recently, Emissary Capital Group LLC Reaffirmed $7 price objective on GreenHouse Holdings. To read the complete report, click here: http://pennyomega.com/img/GRHU_update_101810%20%282%29.pdf

    Emissary Capital Group, LLC. is a New York City-based company that provides strategic consulting and research services to public emerging growth companies. The firm also provides a diversified array of services to small and medium sized private companies, generally defined as those with annual revenues under $200 million, in order to assist them to become publicly traded companies in the U.S

    GreenHouse Holdings, Inc. is a leading provider of energy efficiency solutions and sustainable infrastructure products. GreenHouse Holdings designs, engineers and installs disparate products and technologies with visible return on investment, enabling our clients to reduce their energy costs.

    Molycorp Prices Follow-On Offering

    On Friday, rare-earths miner Molycorp (NYSE: MCP  ) announced a new follow-on offering of stock and convertible notes -- i.e., debt.

    The company is floating 37.5 million shares of common stock and made available a further 5.625 million for purchase by its underwriters through an overallotment option, at $6 per share. Thus, the stock offering alone could potentially yield gross proceeds, before fees, of $258.8 million.

    In addition, Molycorp is selling $150 million worth of convertible senior notes, paying 5.5% interest semiannually and due Feb. 1, 2018. The notes are said to be convertible into stock at a strike price of $7.20 per share. Alternatively, the company may elect to pay cash to redeem the notes. Molycorp may call the notes at any time after Feb. 1, 2016, provided its shares have traded for at least 130% of the conversion price for 20 trading days out of the 30-trading day period preceding the call.

    Here, too, an overallotment option is available, increasing the potential debt raise to $172.5 million. Both the equity and the debt offerings are scheduled to close on Jan. 30. If successful, the total haul could exceed $430 million for the cash-strapped company. Molycorp says it intends to use the cash "to fund current capital needs for capital expenditures and other cash requirements for 2013."

    Molycorp shares reacted positively to the news, rising 13.4% to $8.02.

    Sunday, January 27, 2013

    Profit-Taking Weighs on Nikkei

    Asian markets were mostly higher on Monday, with Hong Kong marking a 21-month high and Japan's Nikkei climbing above 11,000 points for the first time since April 2010.

    In the currency market, South Korea's won was the sharpest mover, falling against the U.S. dollar as foreign investors sold South Korean stocks, while North Korea's latest threat to take "high-profile measures" suggested that South Korea's northern neighbor is considering a third nuclear test.

    "The market is getting a little twitchy about the geopolitical risk (in Korea)," said Paul Mackel, head of Asian currency research at HSBC in Hong Kong.

    More in Markets
    • Japan PM Advisor: Yen Has Room to Weaken
    • Fed Seems Set to Keep the Money Spigot Open
    • Surging Stocks Leave Bears on Their Heels

    The U.S. dollar was recently at 1,081.68, compared with 1,074.50 late Friday.

    The move in the dollar against the yen "continues to unfold as a powerful force, though we think that much of the policy change should already be in the price at these levels," said HSBC's Mr. Mackel.

    The U.S. dollar was a touch higher against the yen on Monday, at �91.03 compared with �90.87 late Friday in New York. A weakening yen has been a key contributor to the recent rally in Japanese stocks, and despite some renewed strength in the currency early last week�brought about by dollar selling after the Bank of Japan concluded its policy meeting�the greenback still managed to post a 0.9% gain last week.

    The dollar's 0.6% gain against the yen on Friday gave Japanese stocks a healthy start to the session, with the Nikkei breaching the 11,000 mark in early trading, before profit-taking sent the index into negative territory. The Nikkei fell 0.6% to 10,863.84.

    The Japanese market was gearing itself for the core of its earnings season, with a string of local corporations scheduled to report this week. On Wednesday, Canon Corp. and Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group will announce their results. They will be followed by Softbank Corp., Toshiba Corp. and Nomura Holdings among others on Thursday.

    On Monday, there were a number of large movements in Tokyo in response to earnings news. Industrial robotics manufacturer Fanuc Corp. dropped 5.2% after revising down its full-year outlook; Advantest lost 4.2% after a Nikkei report over the weekend said that there could be a possible decline in full year earnings, and Hitachi High-Technologies sank 10.6% after its third quarter results suggest that it will likely miss expectations for the fiscal year.

    Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index was up 0.5% at 23688.65, after touching a 21-month high of 23713.40 earlier in the session.

    In mainland China, The Shanghai Composite was 1.6% higher, with banks and cement companies performing well.

    South Korea's Kospi fell 0.3%, with heavy foreign selling putting a number of large local stocks under pressure: Samsung Electronics dropped 2.6% and Hyundai Motor lost 1.5%.

    Markets in Australia were closed for a public holiday.

    Write to Daniel Inman at daniel.inman@wsj.com