Does The Street Have JAKKS Pacific Figured Out?

JAKKS Pacific (Nasdaq: JAKK  ) is expected to report Q3 earnings around Oct. 19. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict JAKKS Pacific's revenues will shrink -3.8% and EPS will shrink 0.0%.

The average estimate for revenue is $319.8 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.11.

Revenue details
Last quarter, JAKKS Pacific notched revenue of $145.4 million. GAAP reported sales were 10% higher than the prior-year quarter's $131.9 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.06. GAAP EPS of $0.01 for Q2 were 94% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.16 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 32.3%, 190 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 0.1%, 140 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 0.1%, 310 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $682.8 million. The average EPS estimate is $0.60.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 422 members out of 447 rating the stock outperform, and 25 members rating it underperform. Among 97 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 91 give JAKKS Pacific a green thumbs-up, and six give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on JAKKS Pacific is hold, with an average price target of $21.60.

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