Tuesday, February 12, 2013

Will These Numbers from GNC Holdings Be Good Enough for You?

GNC Holdings (NYSE: GNC  ) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Feb. 14. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict GNC Holdings's revenues will grow 12.6% and EPS will grow 31.4%.

The average estimate for revenue is $574.0 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.46.

Revenue details
Last quarter, GNC Holdings notched revenue of $621.6 million. GAAP reported sales were 16% higher than the prior-year quarter's $538.0 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.61. GAAP EPS of $0.60 for Q3 were 33% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.45 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 37.8%, 160 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 18.0%, 250 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 10.0%, 100 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $2.44 billion. The average EPS estimate is $2.29.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 99 members out of 112 rating the stock outperform, and 13 members rating it underperform. Among 28 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 26 give GNC Holdings a green thumbs-up, and two give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on GNC Holdings is outperform, with an average price target of $45.88.

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