Thursday, April 26, 2012

Unemployment Data Points of the Day

The Gallup global employment data are out, and there’s a huge amount of meat within (worldwide, 40% are employedfull-time; U.S. unemploymentwas at 9.3% in mid-December), but I'm particularly taken by this unemployment map:

[Click all to enlarge]

U.S. unemployment, on this measure, is in the double-digit range — significantly above the global average of 7%. Meanwhile, Germany, with a much stronger social safety net, has unemployment of less than 5%. (Remember, these aren’t official national statistics, they’re Gallup’s attempt to apply the same yardstick to all countries.)

Zoom in on Europe, and you can see where all the current tensions are coming from, especially in the stark contrast between Germany and Spain, and in general the difference between a relatively prosperous north and a struggling south -- which is also much closer to the hardships of north Africa.

David Leonhardt has a smart take on this data: Essentially, that the U.S. is doing well by its corporates and its full-time employees (Caroline Baum notes that fourth-quarter withheld income tax receipts rose 17 percent from a year earlier), and is letting the unemployed fall through the cracks; Europe and Canada, by contrast, have attempted to spread the pain more widely.

I fear, however, that even if the U.S. adopts the kind of job-boosting policies Leonhardt is extolling, ultimately Tyler Cowen and Jayme Lemke are right, and it’s going to take years of hard-won economic growth before we make a significant dent in the U.S. unemployment rate. In the interim, it’s important for society to look after the unhappy minority which has found itself, to all intents and purposes, unemployable. When the median period of unemployment exceeds the maximum duration of unemployment checks, that’s a sign of a country which has simply given up on its neediest.

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