Monday, March 11, 2019

Money and Marriage: 6 Steps to Talking Family Finances With Your Spouse

Some of us like wine tasting with our spouses. Some of us enjoy kayaking. But hardly any of us love a good couples' chat about finances. In fact, a Wells Fargo survey found that for Americans, money is the No. 1 most difficult topic to discuss -- even harder than death, politics, or religion. Yet a TD Bank survey found 90% of couples who say they are in a happy relationship talk about money once a month, whereas 68% of unhappy couples say they discuss it less often.

Clearly talking about money is part of a healthy relationship -- so why don't more couples discuss their dollars and cents? The answer is complicated. Gender differences have a little to do with it; the Wells Fargo survey found that half of the women who responded said it was difficult to talk with others about personal finances, versus 38% of men.

Debt is a factor, too. A Ramsey Solutions survey found that the more debt a couple had, the more likely they were to fight. Not talking about credit-card debt can also lead to sneaky behavior; in a separate study, 32% of respondents said they've hidden their credit card debt from their significant others. That can't be good for a marriage.

Money is a complicated topic, and we understand the impulse to avoid it rather than face a potential fight. But happy couples do talk about the family finances more regularly than unhappy couples do. Reaching the same page about this sensitive topic is worth the investment, so here are six steps to talking with your spouse about money without ending up yelling at each other (we hope). 

Bride and groom figurines facing away from each other on top of a wedding cake.

Don't let difficult conversations about money get between you and a happy marriage. Source: Getty Images.

1. Set the stage

With any hefty topic, it's best to dig in when both partners feel ready. No one likes to talk shop when they come home from a long day at work, tired and hungry. Some suggest setting and preparing for a "money date" -- a night earmarked for the discussion of your finances, free from the distractions of TV, kids, cell phones, and the like. Some may want to get out of the house and make this a true date night, while others may find it easier at home. Either way, I suggest opening a bottle of red wine. 

2. Ease into the conversation

If you anticipate that the discussion might get contentious, Trent Hamm from the Simple Dollar money blog suggests admitting faults first. This is a good way to acknowledge that none of us is perfect; it's like saying, "It's not you, it's me." If you feel your spouse is spending too much money, take a look at the budget over the past few months -- there may be things you splurged on as well. Admit that you have your own flaws, and understand that everyone has a different relationship with money, one that comes from their individual background and has been forged over many years. As with any important topic worth discussing, when it comes to money, it's best to be patient.

3. Find commonality

A difficult conversation will go more smoothly if you can find common ground. Start off by posing questions; asking "When do you want to retire?" "Where should we live in retirement?" or "Where will the kids go to college?" will help get you both thinking about the same things. Try to get specific with your answers: "I want to retire in 15 years," "I think the kids should go to public college instead of private." This will help make the goals more realistic. Finally, write the goals down so you can both reference them at your next money date.

4. Look at the numbers -- but don't point fingers

It helps if you have prepared a balance sheet and can both look it over. This is a great next step, as it ensures both spouses are aware of the complete family picture. Credit-card balances, mortgage debt, car loans, student loans, investment accounts, and college accounts should all be listed and put out in the open for both partners to see.

Be careful not to judge or make comments if, for instance, one spouse has all the debt in their name. This will quickly shut down the conversation. Instead, have another glass of wine and talk about the good things you've accomplished so far, like how much you have saved or the progress you are making toward paying down a debt. 

5. Start planning

Now that the numbers are out in the open and the goals are clearly articulated, it's time to have some fun and start planning! Goals should be shared, so it's best to talk in terms of "we," not "you." If one person has student debt to pay back, the question is "How can we pay off the debt faster?" or "Where can we save in other places to help pay down the loan?" Talking in terms of "we" makes it a team venture, and there's greater buy-in when both partners feel that they are in it together. 

There are several free financial calculators online that can help you get an idea of how much to save for a specific goal and show how paying down debt faster saves you money.

6. Set another date

Assuming you both survived the first money date unscathed and the bottle of red is empty, it's now time to schedule the next meeting. I try to do this once a quarter with my spouse. If you're just having this conversation for the first time, then maybe try once a month till you gain some traction. I find reviewing the balance sheet is an extremely useful tool that helps guide the conversation. It's also good to keep it light and recognize that however daunting any goal may seem, it all starts with communication.

Money shouldn't be a taboo topic for couples. It's too important not to discuss. If you approach it the right way -- by not judging, setting common goals, talking in terms of "we," and having regular conversations over time -- talking about money may get easier and lead to a more enriching marriage, in more ways than one. I'll drink to that. 

Sunday, March 10, 2019

Should You Buy Gap Stock Ahead of the Old Navy Split?

Gap (NYSE:GPS) -- the parent of its namesake clothing company as well as Banana Republic, Athleta, and Old Navy -- is splitting up. Specifically, Old Navy is leaving the multibrand apparel conglomerate behind. And for good reason: Old Navy is a growing company hitched to a slowly hemorrhaging clothing enterprise.

The announcement sent shares higher by double digits, giving investors hope that Old Navy -- which will be nearly as large on its own as the rest of the company -- will get a higher price tag once the separation is complete. Given the current situation, that's a likely scenario. The problem? The remaining brands that will form the new Gap company (Gap, Banana Republic, Athleta, Intermix, and Hill City) don't look so good. Patience could be a good strategy here. 

Why buying now might make sense

At first glance, 2018 was a pretty good year for the company. Global growth from Old Navy and newer brands like Athleta more than offset substantial declines at the Gap business. Paired with share repurchases and lower taxes due to U.S. corporate tax reform, earnings notched a nice advance.

Metric

12 Months Ended Feb. 2, 2019

12 Months Ended Feb. 3, 2018

YOY Change

Revenue

$16.58 billion

$15.86 billion

5%

Gross profit margin

38.1%

38.3%

(0.2 ppt)

Earnings per share

$2.59

$2.14

21%

Old Navy comparable-store sales increase (decrease)

3%

6%

N/A

Gap comparable-store sales increase (decrease)

(5%)

(1%)

N/A

Banana Republic comparable-store sales increase (decrease)

1%

(2%)

N/A

Data source: Gap. Chart by author. YOY = year over year. Ppt = percentage point.  

The Gap business lost more foot traffic and closed dozens of stores in fiscal 2018 to try to stop the bleeding. It plans to close another 230 stores over the next two years. That will mean lost sales, but will ultimately free up money that the company can use to bolster online sales and support expansion in its smaller growth brands. More share repurchases are on the way, too -- to the tune of $1 billion: a sizable sum, considering that the company's market cap is roughly $10 billion.

But why separate Old Navy from the rest of the business? Staying together keeps operating costs down, so the resulting new enterprises could be somewhat less profitable than they were as a single company. However, as my fellow Foolish contributor Billy Duberstein pointed out, the separate concerns could independently search for better synergies with other clothing companies. (As if to confirm that viewpoint, Gap announced last week that it will acquire Janie and Jack, a premium kids and baby clothing company.) Furthermore, investors would gain better insight on the companies, which could lead to a higher valuation, particularly for the fast-growing Old Navy brand.

Thus, buying now could mean that investors end up with two solid apparel companies -- a growing discount clothier in Old Navy and a premium, niche multibrand operator headed up by Gap.

A rack in a store with women's blouses hanging from hangers.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why you should wait

Still, there's limited visibility into the two companies structured as they are, including how much profit each generates. Here's what we do know, though. The new Gap will have roughly $9 billion in annual sales, and Old Navy about $8 billion. Total free cash flow between the two last year was $676 million compared with $715 million in 2017. Expected earnings in 2019 should be $2.11 to $2.26 per share, or $2.40 to $2.55 when excluding costs related to Gap's accelerated store closures. So earnings are set to fall compared to fiscal 2018.

It's also worth noting that while Old Navy grew again last year, it was at a slower pace than in years past. Old Navy's slowdown occurred even as the clothing and apparel industry's growth accelerated. Granted, total sales for Old Navy were up 8.6% in the U.S., despite there being one less week in fiscal 2018 than in the previous year. However, comparable sales at existing locations increased only 3%, compared to 6% growth in fiscal 2017. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, clothing and accessory store sales surged 4.8% in 2018.

If Old Navy's growth continues to decelerate, optimism about it achieving a substantially higher valuation could fade. Meanwhile, there's not a lot to be excited about with the remaining businesses. The sluggish-at-best Gap and Banana Republic brands would make up nearly 90% of the new company's sales.

Of course, a lot could change between now and 2020, and that's why I'm preaching caution. The current Gap company is a mixed bag, but the overall business is trending down after a particularly busy year for the clothing industry. Shares aren't particularly cheap either, trading for nearly 15 times free cash flow. Thus, I'd wait until at least closer to the actual split before pulling the trigger on Gap stock.